| Overall | 7W 8L 2T |
| District | 4W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 14: 1+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
10 7 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1251 58 Strength Momentum |
1232 57.5(16) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | at Valley | 1096 | +1 | --- | 71% |  | ||
| 08/27/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.000 | 1422 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1145 | 21% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Highland | 0.000 | 917 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1295 | 89% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Sandia | 0.001 | 1278 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1224 | 42% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.001 | 1350 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1210 | 30% | |
| 09/08/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.003 | 1150 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1090 | 70% | |
| 09/12/15 | at St. Pius | 0.007 | 1071 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-2) | 1170 | 76% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.011 | 1350 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1210 | 30% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.019 | 1152 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1261 | 63% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Mayfield | 0.017 | 854 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1213 | 92% | |
| 09/23/15 | Cibola ! | 0.041 | 1232 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1282 | 56% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.044 | 1315 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1091 | 36% | |
| 09/30/15 | Cleveland !! | 0.102 | 1236 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1284 | 56% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.126 | 1050 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1260 | 78% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Cibola ? | 0.272 | 1232 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1151 | 50% | |
| 10/14/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.385 | 1315 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1223 | 42% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Cleveland | 0.498 | 1236 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1253 | 49% | |
| 10/21/15 | Santa Fe | 0.528 | 1050 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1291 | 82% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Volcano Vista actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1232, while
Volcano Vista's "weighted playing strength" is 1242
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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